Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.054662 0.059258 0.063905 0.068949 0.074260 0.079682 0.085625
2025-04-13 0.048819 0.055604 0.062689 0.070614 0.079206 0.088213 0.098343
2025-04-20 0.042729 0.050948 0.059789 0.069947 0.081239 0.093350 0.107263
2025-04-27 0.038476 0.047828 0.058158 0.070310 0.084111 0.099198 0.116837
2025-05-04 0.035543 0.045875 0.057560 0.071593 0.087825 0.105859 0.127253
2025-05-11 0.033588 0.044840 0.057836 0.073726 0.092400 0.113430 0.138683
2025-05-18 0.029430 0.040861 0.054386 0.071259 0.091440 0.114509 0.142576
2025-05-25 0.026821 0.038570 0.052772 0.070804 0.092697 0.118040 0.149214
2025-06-01 0.024534 0.036514 0.051295 0.070380 0.093877 0.121398 0.155592
2025-06-08 0.023662 0.036197 0.051919 0.072486 0.098086 0.128336 0.166210
2025-06-15 0.022542 0.035469 0.051955 0.073806 0.101297 0.134070 0.175407
2025-06-22 0.021354 0.034567 0.051700 0.074703 0.103949 0.139110 0.183778
2025-06-29 0.019746 0.033032 0.050592 0.074513 0.105287 0.142634 0.190452
2025-07-06 0.018997 0.032650 0.050975 0.076235 0.109035 0.149138 0.200802
2025-07-13 0.017412 0.030976 0.049543 0.075513 0.109627 0.151716 0.206345
2025-07-20 0.016339 0.029977 0.048973 0.075885 0.111589 0.155984 0.213973
2025-07-27 0.015678 0.029545 0.049151 0.077232 0.114800 0.161817 0.223558
2025-08-03 0.015352 0.029598 0.049996 0.079476 0.119193 0.169166 0.235073
2025-08-10 0.013564 0.027274 0.047363 0.076876 0.117133 0.168268 0.236225
2025-08-17 0.012537 0.026085 0.046304 0.076395 0.117840 0.170871 0.241763
2025-08-24 0.011597 0.024971 0.045302 0.075948 0.118555 0.173461 0.247274
2025-08-31 0.011425 0.025124 0.046183 0.078167 0.122887 0.180756 0.258813
2025-09-07 0.011049 0.024906 0.046488 0.079557 0.126092 0.186600 0.268526